Crude Oil: Sideways Ahead of Key Data

Crude oil continues to move sideways ahead of the inventory data - is it forming a bottom?

Crude oil futures contracts closed 0.33% higher on Tuesday, continuing their consolidation around the $66 level. The market remains in a sideways pattern following recent declines and a breakdown below the October-December lows.

Today, oil prices are up 1.5%, moving higher yet still within their recent range. While this appears to be a consolidation within a downtrend, the market may still be in the process of forming a bottom.

Investors are awaiting the Crude Oil Inventories report, scheduled for release at 10:30 a.m. The data is expected at 2.1 million barrels, down from the previous reading of 3.6 million.

Crude Oil: Sideways Ahead of Key Data - Image 1

 

Conclusion

Crude oil is extending its consolidation following a recent pullback. The market rebounded yesterday and is trading higher today ahead of the inventory data.

Is this a good time to open a short position? I don't think so - the market is approaching strong medium-term support levels and could move sideways or rebound.

For now, my short-term outlook is neutral.

Here’s the breakdown:

  • Crude oil continues to consolidate after recent declines.
  • In my opinion, the short-term outlook is neutral.

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Thank you.

Paul Rejczak,
Stock Trading Strategist